Ian Bremmer Breaks Down How Russia is Responding To Taliban Takeover

Ian Bremmer Breaks Down How Russia is Responding To Taliban Takeover

“FRIENDLY RELATIONS” WITH THE TALIBAN. JANIS MACKEY FRAYER ON THE GROUND IN BEIJING AND IAN BREMMER. WHAT IS CHINA DOING TO BUILD UP A RELATIONSHIP WITH THE TALIBAN? WHAT WOULD THAT LOOK LIKE? >> Reporter: CHINA HAD BEEN LAYING THE GROUNDWORK ALREADY, JUST OVER TWO WEEKS AGO, THE FOREIGN MINISTER HOSTED TALKS WITH THE TALIBAN DELEGATION, LED BY MULLAH BARADAR. CHINA HAS INVESTMENTS IN INFRASTRUCTURE, MINING AS WELL AS OIL. THE TALIBAN SEES THE ECONOMIC BENEFIT OF COOPERATING WITH CHINA, ESPECIALLY WITH THE BELTON ROAD INITIATIVE THROUGH CENTRAL ASIA. FOR CHINA WHAT IS DRIVING THE WARMING TIES IS SECURITY. IT FEARS EX-SUPREMEISM IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE COUNTRY IN XINGIANG, HOW THEY JUSTIFIED THOUSANDS OF UIGHURS. THEY SAID THEY WOULD NOT ALLOW FIGHTERS TO USE AFGHAN TERRITORY AS A BASE FOR ATTACKS INSIDE CHINA. THE PROBLEM FOR CHINA OF COURSE IS HAVING A RADICAL MILITANT GROUP TAKE OVER A COUNTRY IS SEEN AS INHERENTLY THREATENING. THERE ARE ALSO CONCERNS ABOUT AN INSPIRATION EFFECT THAT ATAL BEEN RESURGENCE COULD HAVE REGIONALLY. CHAI IS NOT RECOGNIZING THE TALIBAN AS THE LEGITIMATE GOVERNMENT OF AFGHANISTAN BUT RECOGNIZING THE TALIBAN IS IN POWER. IN THAT SENSE THEY APPEAR READY TO EXTEND CAUTIOUS SUPPORT AND AMONG THE FEW COUNTRIES TO DO SO. >> CHINA JUST WATCHED A WORLD FORCE OUST THE AFGHAN GOVERNMENT. THERE’S NO WAY THEY’RE COOL WITH THAT. >> THEY WANT THE AMERICANS TO STAY, BECAUSE THE AMERICANS ARE PAYING FOR IT, AND IT WAS MAINTAINING A LEVEL OF STABILITY, THE LIKELIHOOD FOR THE TALIBAN TO TAKE OVER THE COUNTRY VERY HIGH. LIKELIHOOD THEY CAN KEEP IT, THEY CAN MAINTAIN SOME SORT OF STABILITY AND NOT HAVE A FAILED STATE THAT BECOMES WARLORDISM, THAT BECOMES A HAVEN FOR MASSIVE EXTREMISM FOR LOTS OF REFUGEES, DESTABILIZING THE REGION, THAT’S A SERIOUS PROBLEM FOR CHINA, AND I ACTUALLY THINK ONE OF THE THINGS THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION SHOULD HAVE DONE, KNOWING THAT THE CHINESE REALLY DIDN’T WANT US TO LEAVE WAS SAY LOOK, WE’RE GETTING OUT BUT IF YOU WERE TO MAINTAIN, IF YOU BRING PEACEKEEPERS IN, MAYBE WE COULD ENGAGE IN DRONE STRIKES OR PROVIDE HUMANITARIAN AID OR SUPPORT, AT LEAST HAVE THE CONVERSATION SO THAT WHEN THE CHINESE SAY KNOW WE CAN BLAME THEM SAY THEY WEREN’T INTERESTED IN DOING ANYTHING EITHER. YOU DON’T WANT ALL OF THIS ON BIDEN. THAT’S THE PROBLEM WE FACE WITH THE CHINESE AS WELL AS WITH THE ALLY. >> RUSSIA SAID THEY’D BENEFIT FROM THE TALIBAN BEING IN POWER. WHAT DOES THAT MEAN FOR THEM? >> THEY BENEFIT FROM CHAOS IN THE REGION. REMEMBER, THE RUSSIANS ARE THE SECOND LARGEST ARMS EXPORTER IN THE WORLD, AFTER THE UNITED STATES, EVEN THOUGH THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY IS NOT EVEN THE SIZE OF ITALY, AND SO I MEAN, CERTAINLY A LOT OF THE WEAPONS THAT THE AFGHANS HAVE GOING FORWARD DESPITE THE ONES THEY STOLE FROM THE UNITED STATES AND AFGHAN FORCES WILL BE COMING FROM RUSSIA, A LOT OF THE DRUG TRADE WILL BE GOING THROUGH RUSSIA. I DON’T ACTUALLY THINK THAT THE RUSSIANS ARE HAPPY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR INSTABILITY IN CENTRAL ASIA, WHICH IS A PROBLEM IN TERMS OF AFGHAN REFUGEES BY THE NOW TENS OF THOUSANDS, BUT SOON HUNDREDS AND THOUSANDS OF MILLIONS THAT WILL BE STREAMING THROUGH. SO THE RUSSIANS ARE THE ONES THAT MOST LIKE THE AMERICANS TO SHOW WE’RE IN DECLINE, THAT WE REALLY SCREWED UP. THEY WANT TO SEE A WEAKER TRANSATLANTIC RELATIONSHIP. THAT’S WHAT FACILITATED FOR EXAMPLE THEIR GAINS IN UKRAINE, BUT ON BALANCE, THERE ARE VERY FEW AROUND THE WORLD THAT BENEFIT IN TERMS OF GOVERNMENT THAT ACTUALLY BENEFIT FROM WHAT TRANSPIRED OVER THE LAST 72 HOURS. >> EUROPEAN LEADERS WERE HOPING FOR MORE STABILITY WITH BIDEN, THEY DID NOT TRUST PRESIDENT TRUMP. YOU SAID THIS IS THE WORST FOREIGN POLICY MISTAKE SINCE THE IRAN HOSTAGE CRISIS IN THE 1970s. HOW MUCH DAMAGE HAS THIS DONE TO OUR CREDIBILITY? >> NOT THE DECISION TO LEAVE. I ACTUALLY THINK BIDEN’S VERY MADE CLEAR THAT THE UNITED STATES NEEDED TO GO AND THE STATUS QUO WASN’T SUSTAINABLE, BUT THE EXECUTION OF IT AND IN PARTICULAR, THE UNILATERALISM. YOU HAVE TO REMEMBER, STEPHANIE, WE’VE BEEN FIGHTING WITH OUR ALLIES SIDE BY SIDE FOR 20 YEARS NOW. WE’RE THE ONES THAT ASKED THEM TO COME IN WITH US AFTER 9/11 AND THEY DID SO, AND THEY SPENT A LOT OF MONEY AND THEY LOST A LOT OF LIVES, AND THE DECISION MADE BY THE AMERICAN WAS AN AFGHAN POLICY REVIEW DONE COMPLETELY BY THE AMERICANS. AT LIES WERE NO PART OF IT. THEY WERE INFORMED, AND THE INTELLIGENCE FAILURE ON THE GROUND IS OWNED BY THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION, THE FACT THAT WE LEFT AND THE TALIBAN TOOK OVER AND THE AIRPORT WAS NOT SECURED AND THOSE HORRIBLE PHOTOS WE SAW YESTERDAY OF AFGHANS CLINGING ONTO AN A
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Ian Bremmer Breaks Down How Russia is Responding To Taliban Takeover

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