US Open 2021 Preview and Predictions: History On The Line

US Open 2021 Preview and Predictions: History On The Line

okay so it’s been a minute but as of today u.s open draws have dropped on my end yes it has been a minute that can all be attributed to vacation then having sir andy murray make my day and finally just getting back into the groove of college and moving back in stuff of that nature but i am back just in time with the us open right around the corner i really was as hyped as i had expressed for the north american hardcore swing and despite me really not talking about anything after washington dc you know it still proved to be a very captivating north american hardcore summer with it really being a glimpse into the future with all three of the big three for the first time in my recollection all missing each and every one of the two hardcore masters tune-ups to the us open in both canada and cincinnati now as we know those three in djokovic nadal federer are the three biggest names in men’s tennis and to a lot of people that was a kind of a deal breaker as far as how interesting this north american summer could get but in all honesty both those events went on yet a lot of memorable moments a lot of really good performances in both those events you know despite novak djokovic still winning all the big ones this year this year more than any other so far as far as the big three era is concerned has really been the biggest indicator that that post big three era might be closer than a lot of us had anticipated so it’s probably something we’re gonna have to get used to more and more with all of those guys just preserving their bodies playing minimal events pretty much but now as the us open is around the corner we got the final boss per se in novak djokovic returning was never really a doubt even after he expressed he wasn’t 100 post tokyo but there was really never a doubt unless he was gravely or severely injured that novak was not going to play in flushing meadows i mean this is kind of a once in a lifetime opportunity for what he’s going for in the calendar slam at new york this year so i mean it was pretty clear from the beginning that the world’s best player was going to make the trip on the other hand the other two all-time greats in federer nadal will not be seen the rest of 2021 of course as everybody knows by now but kind of was obvious neither was going to play the us open when you know roger didn’t play his favorite masters or in one of his favorite tournaments in cincinnati and rafa was just out playing golf last week totally unbothered those both served as tells that they weren’t going to be playing the us open which is extremely disappointing for those of us like me who after the french open pretty much knew it was going to be 20 20 20 after wimbledon and the prospect of three guys walking into the u.s open at 20 slams was just so epic too epic to be true it seems but it is what it is in my absence though over the last two weeks the young guys kind of went on a roll a couple of them in obviously daniel medvedev in toronto and most of cincinnati and then sasha picking up right where he left off from the olympics taking home the title in cincinnati and would zverev fresh off a win over novak in tokyo it certainly does seem like this us open will be a considerable hurdle obviously the biggest hurdle in novak’s quest for the calendar slam was roland garros already has that out of the way but i mean the us open certainly is going to be second up on that list you can almost say that for sure especially after the draw being unveiled today so without further ado let’s just hop into it unwrap this draw but as always we’re gonna start out up top so obviously that means the world number one spot the djokovic quarter now all things considered considering who isn’t playing and all of that django this year not gonna get into the narrative wasteland of uh this is a weak field and all but all things considered this is one of the tougher draws that you could have drawn up for novak djokovic i mean honestly getting to the quarters shouldn’t be much of a problem for the most part there’s potentially an interesting matchup with aslan karatsev if he’s able to make it to the round of 16 to meet novak djokovic prior to that i mean stroof and nishikori are i guess tricky for a second and third round but you definitely don’t expect novak to stumble against stroof i mean that’s a guy who he’s had his number and has made the last couple hardcore slams at least in 2020 i remember he beat him at both australia and at the us open so he he knows how to play stroof you shouldn’t have too many problems with that the k match up in round three if it ends up happening is obviously going to draw a lot of eyes and probably want to be one of the more hyped third round matches but you don’t really expect it to materialize that competitively albeit nishikori beat novak here in 2014 but k obviously isn’t at the same stage of his career as he is back then he isn’t playing as well he just got whitewashed by novak in tokyo at the olympics but nonetheless nishikori has quietly gotten himself back to a spot where he’s at least built up a respectable level got some good wins in in dc as well as toronto before he got his shoulder injured but this k i don’t think has it in him to tap into some of the magic he’s had in the past here at the us open former finalists and two-time semi-finalists after that but beyond that in the fourth round that’s probably the only place i could see someone giving novak any trouble and that would be in aslan karatev and at this point it’s a big if to if he can really just zone in a potential djokovic mashup in the round of 16. asan has definitely tailed off though in the second half of the year really ever since the french open-ish and you felt that would be the case at some point he was bound to come back to earth but we did see what he’s capable of at his fullest early in the year and even notched a win over novak a goodwin over novak playing well in belgrade obviously it’s very different conditions now but to me that would be the one popcorn match in djokovic’s route to the quarterfinals beyond that i really don’t see anybody else able to challenge him his projected quarter-final opponent is of course matteo bertini they’ve already played in the last two majors in paris at the french and also in the wimbledon final of course feretini played him tough but beretini will be coming into this u.s open short on match play and i do anticipate that being a bit of an issue coming off that thigh injury and looking really rusty in cincinnati i just don’t know how much matteo can push novak in a potential quarterfinals and he himself is going to have quite a few roadblocks in trying to get there i could very well see him not making that quarter but he has made the semi here before you know tentatively i’m going to say that mateo makes it to novak in the quarters but i could definitely see it getting ugly there’s no shortage of stumbling blocks in mateo’s path on the way here but he’s been big time this year he’s played the big matches very well i still have more faith in him than i would a hercoach who has been just insanely unpredictable this year amazing highs but also just really really poor lows and despite a strong hardcore season from him took medvedev to the brink in toronto probably should have won that match but it’s just very difficult to trust hooby and i kind of get the feeling he’s going to go out earlier for him also no shortage of stumbling blocks with sanego fujiwich straight up and sec in the second round yeah that’s just that’s just tough for hooby so tentatively yeah i think novak and beretini are going to be squaring off in the quarters and honestly i don’t think mateo is in the state to really put up the type of fight he did at wimbledon and roland garros against novak but i definitely could be wrong if baratini is able to find some form ultimately novak will get out of that quarter one way or the other it’ll probably just come down to how much resistance he faces and i don’t really anticipate it being all that challenging despite all the projected names he could face along the way now on to the next quarter the sasha zverev quarter your newly minted world number four is coming into this year’s u.s open locked and loaded he’s really been on a tear really excluding grass season going back to madrid he really has turned his season around it was kind of patchy prior to that but once madrid hit zverev has been excellent i mean the grass season was underwhelming but it is far and away his worst surface the guy tore through the olympics including perhaps the performance of his life against djokovic in the semis and now he’s backed up that olympics win would they win in cincinnati off his first action back and he returns to flushing meadows as the reigning finalist now all of these recent successes for sasha have i feel culminated in him being a very popular choice to do well at this year’s tournament and that really does stand to reason but i also would advise people to keep in mind that sasha’s verif’s track record has indicated that he has never been the same player in majors that he has been in the best of three format i touched on that extensively in one of my most recent videos and it’s difficult to give him that benefit of the doubt even with how the olympics went down and how big an event that is and how much the players care about it it’s still tough for me to give him that benefit of the doubt until i actually see it now on to his draw he got it kind of tough as well query straight off the bat obviously is not ideal but it isn’t what face inquiry earlier like three or four years ago would have been those two are like drastically on the opposite ends of the spectrum right now as far as form is concerned i expect sasha will get through that maybe the toughest it gets is like four along the lines of when he played kevin anderson first round last year but beyond that he could see bublic in the third round and alexander bublic has quietly had a career year this season no title but still a lot of quality wins won over zverev incidentally in rotterdam earlier this year and i very well could see that being one of those ugly nip and tuck matches back and forth that sasha pretty much has at least one of in the early couple rounds of majors you know albeit he’s gotten better at majors over the last two years but it still doesn’t look pretty and quite frankly there are a couple matches in his path that you could see getting dragged out longer than they should but as he’s done in the past i think he’s going to find a way obviously onyx center his projected fourth round sinner has struggled quite a bit since roland garros got a really good win in washington dc taking advantage of how the field kind of wasn’t great there so close after the olympics but a tremendous win for a young player like him nonetheless and one that really needed that win now following it he hasn’t done great it’s been sandwiched in between a pretty mediocre summer for onyx center but really aside from mofis who started playing better sinner doesn’t really have the roadblocks in that potential round of 16 meeting to get to sasha and the way lamont is playing right now i could see him beating yannick to be totally honest but with the way he struggles with heat and it being the us open that’ll work to the favor for anyone playing mofis if you get him on a hot day because it’s pretty common to see gael especially in these last couple of years kind of just wilt in the heat so i do back center to make it to the round of 16. zverev should beat him in a rematch of what was the round of 16 at roland garros last year in which onix center came out on top that could be a really good match but i just don’t see it right now sinners kind of raw on hard still and he just doesn’t have the form right now if sasha doesn’t capitulate to really compete now as for who will face zverev in that quarter it is really a toss up your guess is as good as mine to be honest shap of olive is the highest ranked after sasha in this section but after his run to the wimbledon semis he has struggled mightily he has not won a match going back to wimbledon and fresh off a four match losing streak federico del bonus isn’t exactly a pushover in the first round and while dennis did have a great run here last year i just can’t see it this year with the rut he’s in he also could just snap out of it in a flash that’s kind of how shape of all love is just blows hot and cold but in the form he is in at the moment given these circumstances he is a prime candidate for someone on upset alert pcb would probably be the safe pick to meet zverev in the quarters but he is also kind of low on match play just playing in cincinnati and winston-salem coming into the us open he’s probably playing the best tennis of his career this year so i mean i’m probably going to air on the safe side and say pcb will make it to plays very rematch of the semis last year but at the same time the roadblocks are there for pcb and they probably will come in the form of the american charge and sebastian corda in the second round and then riley oppelka to follow in the third possibly and it honestly wouldn’t be that outlandish for either of those guys to be able to push possibly even knock pcb out particularly with opalka because i mean with the serve you kind of just get the racket taken out of your hand it happened to rba in toronto someone kind of similar to pablo but karena busta being the savvy veteran he is and having success in the past year at the us open a two-time semi-finalist i trust that he’ll be able to navigate those roadblocks giving us a quarter between sasha and pcb at the moment i do like zverev to make the semis here if that is the case it probably given past history isn’t going to be as easy and smooth sailing as it has been for a lot of zverev’s winning streak but at the end of the day i do expect that he’ll make his way to the semis that’s kind of just become his mo you know despite the skepticism with his slam results and they still aren’t the same as his best of three results of course but somehow someway over the past two years he’s made his way to these latter stages of slams pretty much everywhere but wimbledon and i expect that to continue here and that brings us to the second seed stefano city pluses section ct plus coming off an okay summer hardcourt season could have been better but nothing concerning he obviously flashed some very very good form in there lost two matches in toronto and cincy that were both winnable and really he lost having the upper hand in and that’s something we’ve seen from ctpos throughout his career just last year at the us open he lost in flushing meadows with one of the worst choke jobs in recent memory and needless to say he still has his issues playing with the lead but for him i would say he’s got a very favorable draw to at least make the quarters obviously the popcorn matches him opening out with andy murray just purely for the names honestly yeah murray has played better over this summer but really tough luck for him in drawing steph first round probably will be relatively straightforward beyond that for city poss christian green is the next highest ranked player in his path to the quarterfinals and probably the people that could offer him the most resistance would be cam nori or hugo and bear particularly um bear considering he just beat him at the olympics and gave him a tough match in toronto nori has tailed off a bit since winning his first title in los cabos but most importantly for steph he doesn’t have one of those big servers in his way and route to this quarterfinal and in all likelihood won’t have to face one in the quarters which is huge for him considering he has struggled all his career dealing with the big servers you just saw pelka beat him in toronto despite zitsi poss being the better player for most of that match and it is the one glaring weakness in ttposs’s game and has been for a while is his return but on that front the coast is kind of clear and because of that i really don’t see too many roadblocks for sitsi pass as for who will meet him it’s kind of unclear rublev is the next highest ranked person in this quarter but he hasn’t been playing his best tennis really ever since mid-clay court season and that’s including his run to the final in cincy he didn’t really play his best tennis making it to the semis and he was on the way to getting routed by medvedev again as that rivalry has tended to favor the neil pretty strongly but following that camera incident of course where medvedev crashed into the camera on the court he kind of just lost the platform then which is really unfortunate considering how hot medvedev had been to that point but that was really what enabled rublev to get back into that match and make the final the final was routine for zverev over rublev but i do feel this could go one of two ways for andre heading into the u.s open maybe this inspires him regardless of the circumstances getting the first win over a guy that had owned him like that has to be a massive confidence boost and maybe that’ll enable him to get back on track to the tennis he was playing the first half of this year as well as second half of last year where you could really just pencil him in for a quarter final for a couple slams there and he was beating everyone that he should be but at the same time he still isn’t playing great and that could result in you seeing something like his last two major losses at roland garros and wimbledon where he falls to one of those early danger matches like maybe tiafoo’s had a good summer also felix and rba depending on which one of those comes out to be rublev’s projected fourth round opponent they’re certainly capable of taking him out as well in the form he’s in but at the moment i’m going to favor the first one a bit more and say that rule blev will carry that momentum from cincinnati over into this u.s open he’s probably not going to snap back into the guy who was on a tear through the second half of last year but i do think it’ll be enough for him to make the quarters and that’s a good matchup for him especially compared to his other two really next-gen peers in medvedev and zverev who really have a decided matchup advantage over him that isn’t the case when he faces sitsi plus if it ends up happening he certainly could make a match out of that against sitsi boss but i think steph is relatively still in better form than rublev at the moment and i would give him the edge regardless of who ends up being his quarterfinal opponent i do like cc boss to get to the semis but rublev would probably be his toughest test and lastly on to the very bottom of the draw in the daniel medvedev quarter straight up medvedev should love his draw and to me there’s kind of no excuse for him to not make the finals if he’s 100 honestly despite being the world number two if you asked me before this north american hardcore season how i gauged medvedev season i would say after that early winning streak pretty much after the australian open final it’s been kind of disappointing aside from roland garros in that stretch he really underwhelmed pretty much everywhere else i thought other than those two 250 wins in mallorca and i believe marseille and aside from that he really never recaptured the form from earlier in the year but in toronto that changed after really just hanging on by a threat against hercuach in the quarters medvedev switch flipped and you saw pretty much that same dude from the back end of last year and early part of this year that same guy who was tearing it up on these same north american hard courts two years ago he brushed aside his last two opponents after that in toronto a returning master class against isner and then opalka and that carried over into cincinnati i really think that we were kind of robbed of what would have been a really nice final against him and zverev if not for that whole camera situation in cincinnati to me it really looked like he had a very good chance of pulling off the double in winning toronto and cincinnati but that match kind of just flipped on a dime against rublev in the semis but that being said if he’s still that guy this week when the us open starts i don’t really see anybody in his draw really able to put up that much resistance he should be very very happy with his draw out of the top four seeds i’d definitely say that he got it the easiest and while that whole camera incident did derail him for that one match i don’t see that carrying over much into his us open play these are his favorite courts this is his favorite time of year he’s always flourished in the north american swing ever since he broke through it is where he made his breakthrough and i really just can’t see anybody putting up much of a fight he’s pretty much a shoe-in for me for the quarters and i anticipate that he’ll probably play john isner in the quarters isner himself has been excellent this summer another title in washington dc it’s basically the john isner open now he’s won it six times and then backed it up with a nice semi-final run in toronto which saw him beat rublev kasperood is the next highest ranked in the medvedev corridor but i don’t think he’s there yet as far as his hardcore play he did go further than i anticipated in both canada and cincinnati but i don’t think he’s ready here to make a deep run yet isner might have trouble straight off the bat with brandon nakashima who’s had a nice summer but being a former two-time u.s open quarter finalist and this being isner’s most consistent major throughout his career i gotta give him the edge there and also he could face diego schwartzman who hasn’t had a great year this season definitely a drop off from his last couple and with isner on north american soil he’s a different player so i give him the edge there as well that being said medvedev has a decided match-up advantage with isner he has crushed him in both their meetings including the most recent in toronto so i do anticipate the neil making light work of whoever it is there i think it’ll be isner but nonetheless i like mehdi and the semis as well and that would give us the four top seeds making the semi-finals you’d have zverev and djokovic facing off in the top half and then medvedev and siti poss in the bottom as far as novak and sasha that should be nip and tuck i’m leaning five sets there but at least it’ll probably be like as tight a 4 setter as you can get like their match was in australia earlier this year with djokovic compromise back then i honestly felt that’s the closest we got to this quest for the calendar slam being halted this year zverev had ample opportunities didn’t take them and you can’t give novak any type of lifeline regardless of the condition he was in back then needless to say that was a match that was decided by a hair i do think zverev will take it one step further with the confidence that that win over novak in the olympics would have given him as well as the type of form he’s in and i do expect five sets there also combined with the fact that djokovic hasn’t played since the olympics i just don’t think he’ll be at a hundred percent this tournament yeah he’ll be more fresh and healthy you’d assume but i don’t really know that he’ll be at his very best but he hasn’t really needed his best throughout much of his run in capturing his three slams this year and he’s just become so good at managing matches where he doesn’t have his best stuff there’s really never been a year that exemplified that better than this year and so i expect no less i think he’ll edge zverev and as for the second semi-final medvedev has had a decided matchup advantage against ct plus it was huge for steph to be able to beat him on his turf per se in roland garros beat him in a tight three-setter but straights nonetheless but here things are much more on medvedev’s terms he pretty much obliterated stuff in the semis in australia earlier this year i think stuff will put up more resistance this time i think that that match being so lopsided was also due to the fatigue that sitsi pass was dealing with following a pretty grindy match against nadal having to come back from two sets to love down he was up against it from the very beginning against the neil but at the end of the day in the form that medvedev has been in as of late i do like him to reach his second u.s open final and i’ll say he does it in four sets over sutsi pass and that means that the last man standing in the way of djokovic creating history here and capturing the calendar slam will be daniel medvedev i’ve been pretty dead set on this being the final really ever since medvedev won toronto and to be completely honest my gut has been saying all along that i don’t think novak is going to do it at this us open i don’t think that that australian open final is at all representative of the type of damage medvedev can do to djokovic on any hard court he kind of threw in a dud there but you’ve seen it in the way he matches up with post prime djokovic aside from that match he’s pretty much always been able to hang with novak and with djokovic being more comfortable on the australian open hardcourts than he is on these us open ones despite being plenty formidable nonetheless i do think it’s a lot more of a neutral playing field there i didn’t know vax road being tougher to get there than the nils and medvedev himself being in great form as well as this being his favorite time of year and these being his favorite conditions and yeah my head certainly leans medvedev but then i go back to what i said after that australian open final where post match i came away feeling okay until i see one of these younger guys actually get over the line and beat a djokovic or a nadal on a final sunday or just in a pivotal big match at the end of these slams i’m not going to make that pick and while we have gotten as close as ever to that happening on several occasions this season novak djokovic in particular has just said no and i’m not going to turn my back on that now despite it being pretty clear that a breakthrough for one of these guys is coming soon and it very well could end up happening at this us open but you gotta show me first before i’m ready to actually make that pick so yeah that means i got novak djokovic getting 221 and completing the calendar slam with a win at this year’s u.s open it won’t be easy again it’ll probably be his second hardest challenge after roland garros in getting this calendar slam but the guy’s gotten this far already so i’m not gonna bet against him now it’ll take something special this would probably go five as well but this dude is the youngest 34 year old ever it’ll take something special for him to do it but when he needs to be special this dude has answered the call so many times so yeah i’m rolling with novak for 21 at flushing meadows it’s good to be back in the swing of things again u.s open starting in a couple days is is an absolutely electric prospect especially because i will be in attendance and yeah i mean i can’t wait this has been a really long video so if you made it this far thank you so much for watching i appreciate it i’m aware that i haven’t uploaded in a while but if you made it this far thank you so much for watching again it would be much appreciated and would help the channel tremendously if you could drop a like and subscribe to the channel if you haven’t already and that’ll do it here i will see you all in the next one [Music]
rn

US Open 2021 Preview and Predictions: History On The Line

rn

Share this post

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.